Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.170984 0.198752 0.229649 0.266589 0.309573 0.358043 0.416887
2025-03-09 0.129420 0.166841 0.212996 0.274175 0.353265 0.452240 0.585811
2025-03-16 0.105102 0.145479 0.198936 0.275024 0.380813 0.523119 0.729840
2025-03-23 0.090115 0.132159 0.191125 0.280074 0.411322 0.598626 0.887657
2025-03-30 0.076270 0.117554 0.178397 0.274889 0.424768 0.649872 1.015897
2025-04-06 0.066182 0.106631 0.168941 0.272287 0.440362 0.704629 1.155024
2025-04-13 0.058758 0.098576 0.162442 0.272794 0.459973 0.766891 1.313043
2025-04-20 0.054833 0.095525 0.163295 0.284959 0.499598 0.865638 1.543879
2025-04-27 0.051044 0.092105 0.162934 0.294715 0.535911 0.962644 1.783911
2025-05-04 0.047510 0.088609 0.161887 0.302889 0.570070 1.059464 2.035703
2025-05-11 0.043579 0.083848 0.157917 0.305038 0.593095 1.138314 2.263449
2025-05-18 0.039469 0.078211 0.151601 0.301829 0.605246 1.197692 2.460353
2025-05-25 0.035039 0.071496 0.142612 0.292611 0.605088 1.234457 2.619702
2025-06-01 0.033004 0.069333 0.142293 0.300843 0.641474 1.349113 2.957512
2025-06-08 0.030460 0.065783 0.138717 0.301776 0.662539 1.434443 3.243592
2025-06-15 0.028617 0.063479 0.137415 0.307325 0.694102 1.545689 3.601965
2025-06-22 0.026015 0.059192 0.131368 0.301628 0.699839 1.600813 3.839011
2025-06-29 0.023921 0.055785 0.126840 0.298769 0.711617 1.670805 4.120480
2025-07-06 0.022288 0.053241 0.123947 0.299326 0.731430 1.761697 4.465090
2025-07-13 0.021663 0.052998 0.126310 0.312693 0.783812 1.936455 5.043672
2025-07-20 0.020893 0.052309 0.127535 0.323414 0.830981 2.104289 5.627990
2025-07-27 0.020064 0.051371 0.128047 0.332397 0.874864 2.269310 6.228140
2025-08-03 0.018926 0.049517 0.126080 0.334758 0.901785 2.394083 6.736672